Step
Two: Watch our stock
on a daily basis and continue to extend our trend
line as the stock moves higher. While extending the
trend line we do not want to change the angle at which the line is progressing. If the stock begins
to break through our line we would proceed to step
three.
Step
Three: You will notice on the chart shown
below that our stock's momentum is beginning to slow,
and its daily bars are beginning to break through
our trend line. It may help to envision the first
part of the stock's move as a golfer teeing off. The
stock shot off the tee and was moving upward and
outward with increasing momentum. Now you will
notice that the stock, like the golf ball, is
beginning to slow, and once the momentum is lost
will more than likely begin to fall back to earth.
Step
Four: At this point you will also want to
watch for increased volume combined with the slowing
momentum. This increased volume is generally an
additional sign of a potential reversal. This volume
increase generally comes from investors trying to get
in on the up-trend too late and the investors who have
been in since the beginning selling their positions
out. Once the investors buying in late realize that
the trend is over, they will switch sides, joining the
sellers and driving the stock lower.
Step
Five: If a trend is truly slowing, it will
happen over a number of days. Do not be fooled by
single days that spike below our trend line. Such days
are not uncommon and should be disregarded, as long as
our trend resumes on the following day. Once a true
slowing in momentum has been identified (especially if
it is accompanied by increased volume), we would want
to take at least half of our money off the table and
lock in a profit. The reason that we wouldn’t take
all of our profits at this time is because
occasionally a stock will begin to show weakness for a
short period of time and then come back and resume its
upward trend.
Step
Six: In step six we have taken half our money
off the table and will want to watch our stock very
closely. If the stock continues to trade sideways we
would probably stay in the trade, but if the weakness
begins to gain momentum to the down side we would take
the rest of our money off the table. |